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Stauffer Shines in Return to Majors July 11, 2009

Posted by Jonathan C. Mitchell in Baseball.
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(AP Photo/Ben Margot)

Tonight, the San Diego Padres decided to give former University of Richmond graduate, and former 4th overall draft pick Tim Stauffer another chance to prove his stuff in the majors. The Padres did not regret their decision.

Stauffer has not pitched since 2007 when he gave up 18 runs on 5 homers in only 7.2 innings in the majors. He underwent labrum surgery in May of 2008 and missed all of the 2008 season.

I’ve always liked Stauffer and I think Petco is the perfect place for him. He has always had great work ethic and good command of four pitches. While none of his pitches grade as plus they are all at-least average. His biggest knock was that he leaves the ball up too often (he’s given up 15 homers in 94.2 innings in the majors) and he survives off the movement of his fastball.

Stauffer must have had his command and movement working for him tonight. Here is his stat-line from tonight’s game:

IP H R ER BB K Pithces Strikes Swinging Strikes GB/FB ERA
7 4 2 2 1 7 97 68 17 5/9 2.57

Stauffer pitched a gem. The only knock was the amount of fly balls he allowed and one made its way over the outfield fence.

I am not saying that Stauffer is going to make anyone forget about Jake Peavy or become the staff ace, or that he can post an ERA below 3.00 in a full season, but if Stauffer can stay healthy and keep the ball down then this outing could be a small glimmer of things to come.

-Jonathan C. Mitchell

Holes in Olney’s AL All-Star Lineup July 10, 2009

Posted by Jonathan C. Mitchell in Baseball.
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Over at the 4-Letter, Buster Olney created an AL All-Star team that did not follow the normal one-player-per-team rule. Then he created two lineups, one against right-handers and one against left-handers and some of his selections make no sense whatsoever.

Here is Olney’s lineup versus right-handers:

RF: Ichiro Suzuki, Mariners
C: Joe Mauer, Twins
3B: Evan Longoria, Rays
1B: Justin Morneau, Twins (has a .998 on-base plus slugging percentage versus right-handed pitchers, the best among first basemen other than Russell Branyan; I’d start Morneau because of the defense)
LF: Adam Lind, Jays (a .999 OPS versus right-handed pitchers)
2B: Ben Zobrist, Rays (a .934 OPS versus right-handed pitchers)
CF: Adam Jones, Orioles
SS: Jason Bartlett, Rays

First off, the Morneau selection over Branyan is just wrong. Here are the numbers of each against right-handers:

  AVG. OBP. SLG. OPS. HR At-Bats UZR/150
Branyan .301 .399 .612 1.011 16 183 -0.3
Morneau .298 .409 .581 .990 14 191 -6.4

As you can see, Branyan is the superior hitter. Even if you take Morneau’s numbers from this article a couple days ago, Branyan’s are still superior, especially considering that Branyan is 0-6 with two walks in since this was written by Olney.

We can also see by the fielding metric UZR/150 that Branyan is easily the better defender. If you go by fielding percentage then Morneau is ahead but that is because Branyan reaches more batted-balls than Morneau.

Olney’s comment about starting Morneau over Branyan because of defense is absurd! The numbers clearly show that Branyan has been superior on both sides of the ball this half-season.

Another flip I would make is that of Adam Lind for Carl Carwford. Here are their head-to-head stats versus right-handers:

  AVG. OBP. SLG. OPS. HR SB/CS At-Bats UZR/150
Crawford .329 .391 .489 .880 7 42/4 219 +10.2
Lind .308 .396 .599 .995 15 0/1 227 -3.3

Lind has the upper hand in power but Crawford has the upper hand in average, and it’s not even close in steals or fielding. Crawford should be the selection in Olney’s lineup.

And lastly, one could argue that Ben Zobrist belongs over Ian Kinsler in the lineup versus left-handers. Here are their splits:

  AVG. OBP. SLG. OPS. HR SB/CS At-Bats UZR/150
Zobrist .350 .442 .725 1.167 6 3/2 80 +31.0
Kinsler .344 .407 .740 1.147 11 4/0 96 +7.4

This one is a close call. Zobrist has the edge in almost every category other than homers. Zobrist’s defense at second has been incredible! Granted, it has only been in 39 games as opposed to Kinsler’s 82. This one is close but a slight edge has to go to Zobrist.

We all have our opinions, and maybe I am wrong, but I thought these picks, although hypothetical, needed a little more research.

-Jonathan C. Mitchell

It’s Time for Tony Pena Jr. to Go July 4, 2009

Posted by Jonathan C. Mitchell in Baseball.
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This is not a new subject. I wrote that Tony Pena Jr. was the worst player in the league last year and he continues to prove me right.

Pena, using Fangraph’s value index, is costing the Kansas City Royals money. He is currently stealing roughly $425K from the Royals this year. Fangraph’s has him at -0.6 WAR which is a -$2.5M value. Last year Pena posted a -1.3 WAR which is a -$5.7M value. For his career he has a 0.1 which equates to a -$0.3M value, and this includes a season in which his defense helped give him a positive value of $6.9M in 2007.

Pena has never had a good bat. He is a career .230/.250/.303 hitter with a wOBA of .239. Over the past two seasons he has a combined slash total of .157/.180/.194 and that includes 1 homer and 8 walks in 280 plate appearances. By the way, two of those eight walks were intentional. I would like to exactly what was on the mind of the managers that intentionally walked him. They should’ve been fired on the spot. Oh, and his OPS+ in these past two seasons is +1. That is unheard of! He is an abismal 4-43 on the current season.

Pena’s defense has always been where his value is and he is showing no value there anymore. Here are his UZR/150 rating in his career:

  UZR/150 Innings FLD%
2006 44.9 84.0 .977
2007 19.0 1273.2 .966
2008 12.2 592.0 .966
2009 0.2 140.0 .946

As you can see, his numbers have gone down each year. He has no offensive or defensive value whatsoever now. If there is any baseball value left in Tony Pena Jr. it is on the mound. We all remember the game last season when Pena came out of the pen in relief and pitched a perfect inning, striking out one. He sported a low-to-mid 90s fastball in his outing. If Pena is to stay in professional baseball he needs to do the Rick Ankiel reverse because he is costing the Royals money and wins as a position player.

-Jonathan C. Mitchell

Joe Nathan Deserves Some Respect July 3, 2009

Posted by Jonathan C. Mitchell in Baseball.
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(REUTERS/Eric Miller)

When relievers are mentioned who do you think of? Mariano Rivera? Jonathan Papelbon? Brad Lidge? How about Joe Nathan? Yeah, he’s usually not very high on most people’s lists, and when he actually comes to mind there isn’t much prestige pointed in his direction. This is a shame! Joe Nathan is the best reliever since becoming a full-time “closer” 6 years ago.

Joe Nathan is not the best reliever of all-time, that title belongs to Rivera, but he is the best reliever since he moved to Minnesota six years ago. Here are his numbers in those six seasons (including this season):

  W-L ERA ERA+ IP H K BB K/BB K/9
2004 1-2 1.62 292 72.1 48 89 23 3.87 11.1
2005 7-4 2.70 165 70.0 46 94 22 4.27 12.09
2006 7-0 1.58 283 68.1 38 95 16 5.94 12.51
2007 4-2 1.88 230 71.2 54 77 19 4.05 9.67
2008 1-2 1.33 305 67.2 43 74 18 4.11 9.84
2009 1-1 1.44 283 31.1 18 39 6 6.50 11.20
6 Year Total 21-11 1.79 244 381.1 247 468 104 4.50 11.0

As you can see, Nathan’s stats look like a line from a video game. In 5 of those 6 seasons he posted an ERAs between 1.33 and 1.88. The only season he had an ERA higher was in 2005 when he posted a 2.70 (still great) and his peripherals suggest he should have had an ERA closer to those of his other 5 season’s. For a comparison, here are Mariano Rivera and Jonathan Papelbon’s stats in that same time frame:

Rivera’s Stats

  W-L ERA ERA+ IP H K BB K/BB K/9
6 Year Total 26-22 1.99 222 406.2 313 392 70 5.60 8.70

Papelbon Stats

  W-L ERA ERA+ IP H K BB K/BB K/9
5 Year Total 14-11 1.83 255 265.0 191 304 70 4.34 10.3

Nathan beats both superstar relievers in almost every category spanning the past 6 years (5 years for Paps). So, next time you have a discussion about the top relievers in the game and who you would want closing out your 1-0 game, please bring the name Joe Nathan up and quote his ridiculous stats he has consistently posted since becoming a full-time “closer”.

-Jonathan C. Mitchell

Cubs Should Find At-Bats for Fox June 26, 2009

Posted by Jonathan C. Mitchell in Baseball.
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The Chicago Cubs (35-35) currently sit in 3rd place in the NL Central, a mere 2.5 games out of first. They are 13th in the NL in runs scored, 13th in AVG, 12th in OBP, and 11th in SLUG. And yes, they still play thier home games at the hitter friendly Wrigley. Alfonos Soriano is playing awful, both at the plate and in the field, Aramis Ramirez is injured and Mike Fontenot hasn’t done a single thing with the bat, Derek Lee is finally hitting along with Geovany Soto, and Milton Bradley just had another meltdown and manager Lou Piniella is considering benching him. So, where am I going with this you ask? It’s simple: The Cubs need to insert Jake Fox into their lineup as much as possible.

Fox is a soon-to-be 27 year old that, prior to this season, had 14 career big league at-bats. Fox raked in Double-A last season to the tune of .307/.397/.580 and a .428 wOBA with 25 homers in 388 at-bats (459 plate appearances). He was old for the leage so they promoted to Triple-A where he struggled mightily.

Fox began 2009 in Triple-A and has hit .409/.495/.841 with a .557 wOBA and 17 homers in 164 at-bats (194 PA). Fox was promoted earlier but got little playing time. He since been promoted during Interleague play and has done nothing but hit. He is currently at .395/.395/.684 with 2 homersand 5 doubles in 38 at-bats.

Again, Fox is turning 27 in less than a month and the Cubs have expensive options at the positions he can “handle”, so there is no immediate spot for him once the Cubs return to National League play. But, I think Piniella would be wise to play Fox at third until Ramirez is ready and then give him a lot of time in right, some in left, and even a game or two behind the plate. Some how, some way, the Cubs need to find Fox at-bats even if it is at the expense of their struggling high-priced stars.

-Jonathan C. Mitchell

2010 First Overall Pick: Bryce Harper June 15, 2009

Posted by Jonathan C. Mitchell in Baseball.
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It has been reported that Las Vegas High School catcher, and most touted 16 year old in recent memory, Bryce Harper, is going to get his GED and enroll at the College of Southern Nevada so that he will be eligible for the 2010 draft. He is the clear choice for first overall next year, something the Washington Nationals should be salivating about.

Harper, who hit .626 with 14 home runs, 55 RBI, and 36 stolen bases as a high school sophomore this season, has plus tools across the board. He has power that is matched by few in the game, incredible speed (and not just for a cathcer), a plus arm, good recieving skills, and a passion for greatness. And yes, the rumored 570 foot homer he hit as a freshman was measured by crew members that took a measuring tape from the fence to across the street where the ball hit.

The Washington Nationals, if they continue to be the worst team in the majors, will have the luxury of the first overall pick and could end up with two of the most hyped and talented draft propsects of all-time in back-to-back drafts. There is concern, I’m sure, that Harper will want a signing bonus of over $10M with Scott Boras as his agent, but, let’s remember, Harper is leaving school early to enter the draft to play pro ball and not to threaten to go to a big-time university.

Will the Nationals dish out the money in back-to-back drafts and have Stephen Strasburg and Bryce Harper as their top two prospects? Time will only tell. But these two uber-prospects are the exact type of players, on their own, that you build a team around, and the Nats can have them both. Don’t mess this one up Nats!

-Jonathan C. Mitchell

MLB Draft Round-Up: AL East June 13, 2009

Posted by Jonathan C. Mitchell in Baseball, College.
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Below are my thoughts on how each American League East team did in the 2009 Rule-IV draft.

Baltimore Orioles – The Orioles seemed, to me at least, to take a conservative approach in this draft. I was hoping they would’ve been more aggressive with the impressive group of youngsters coming up thier system now. Matthew Hobgood was a good pick, but I thought they should’ve gone with a Tyler Matzek or Aaron Crow here. Round 2 pick Mychal Givens is an intriguing pick. He has plus tools as a runner and a fielder but his bat needs a lot of improvement. He is a good prospect on the mound and I would develop him as a pitcher, but it is unclear to me how the O’s will develop him. 9th round pick Ryan Berry is a good late pick with a big arm that could be in the pen by next season.

Boston Red Sox – I can’t say that I ever dislike the Red Sox drafts. I absolutely love their first pick, Reymond Fuentes. He was my favorite high school position player in the draft and he has good bloodlines (he’s Carlos Beltran’s cousin). He has blazing speed (clocked at 3.68 seconds from home to first on a bunt) and should hit for average with power to come once he fills out his frame. William Wilson is a candidate, for me, to be in the Sox’s bullpen by next year although I believe the Sox like him as a starter. Other picks of note are David Renfroe (3rd) and William Volz (9th).

New York Yankees – Top pick Slade Heathcott is an interesting pick for the Yanks in the first round. He is a true centerfielder with plus speed and defensive skills. He has power that should develop into 15+ homers a year. The main knock on Heathcott is his make-up. He is a guy that I would not have taken in the first but he offers high reward. John Murphy is a good catching prospect that should have no problem staying behind the plate. He has a stroke that should produce line drives and a good average. I am a bit surprised the Yanks didn’t take more signability guys. They seemed to appraoch this draft like they had a low budget.

Tampa Bay Rays – The Rays took a high-risk/high-reward appraoch in this draft. They also steared towards toolsy high school players early on. LeVon Washington is a guy that should sign fast, and for slot. He’s a local kid (Gainesvile, FL) with good speed and defensive skills in center. He has room in his frame to fill out but the risk/reward is high. My favorite pick by the Rays is Luke Bailey (4th). Before being injured, Bailey was a potential first rounder. He has a chance to be an All-Star caliber catcher and is already a pretty polished hitter. He is set to go to Auburn but if the Rays throw some money at him, especially since they saved on their first round pick, they will get themselves their best catching prospect. 2nd rounder Kenny Diekroeger was a slight reach for me but has tools to develop into a solid regular. I also love the picks of Todd Glaesmann (3rd), Jeffrey Malm (5th), and big-time catching prospect sleeper (if he signs) Austin Maddox (37th).

Toronto Blue Jays – I love what they did at the top of their draft. They nabbed two college starters that should be big-league ready in no more than two years in Chad Jenkins and James Paxton. Paxton has more upside as a potential #1-2 guy but Jenkins has the frame to be a good #3-4 that will eat innings. High school starters Jake Eliopoulos (2nd) and Jake Barret (3rd) are great high risk/reward picks after Jenkins and Paxton. Jacob Marisnick (5th) is another solid pick if they can sign him away from Oregon. He should be a plus defender in a corner with a very good all-around skill package if all works out.

-Jonathan C. Mitchell

2009 MLB Mock Draft 2.0 June 9, 2009

Posted by Jonathan C. Mitchell in Baseball, College.
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This is my final Mock Draft. Thanks to a lot of refrences like ESPN, MLBTR, MLB.com, and some others, this is how the first round could be shaping out.

1. Nationals: Stephen Strasburg, RHP, San Diego State

2. Mariners: Dustin Ackley, OF/1B, North Carolina

3. Padres: Donovan Tate, OF, Cartersville HS

4. Pirates: Tony Sanchez, C, Boston College

5. Orioles: Zack Wheeler, RHP, East Paulding HS

6. Giants: Tyler Matzek, LHP, Capistrano Valley HS

7. Braves: Alex White, RHP, North Carolina

8. Reds: Aaron Crow, RHP, Fort Worth Cats

9. Tigers: Jacob Turner, RHP, Westminster Christian Academy

10. Nationals: Mike Minor, LHP, Vanderbilt

11. Rockies: Bobby Borchering, 3B, Bishop Verot HS

12. Royals: Grant Green, SS, University of Southern California

13. Athletics: Mike Leake, RHP, Arizona State

14. Rangers: Shelby Miller, RHP, Brownwood HS

15. Indians: Eric Arnett, RHP, Indiana

16. Diamondbacks: Matt Davidson, 3B, Yucaipa HS

17. Diamondbacks: Wil Myers, C/3B, Wesleyan Christian Academy

18. Marlins: Chad James – LHP, Yukon HS

19. Cardinals: Randal Grichuk, OF, Lamar Consolidation HS

20. Blue Jays: Chad Jenkins, RHP, Kennesaw State

21. Astros: Tanner Scheppers, RHP, St. Paul Saints

22. Twins: Billy Bullock, RHP, Florida

23. White Sox: Everett Williams, CF, McCallum HS

24. Angels: Drew Storen, RHP, Stanford

25. Angels: Reymond Fuentes, OF, Fernando Callego HS

26. Brewers: Mike Trout, OF, Millville HS

27. Mariners: Tim Wheeler, OF, Sacramento State

28. Red Sox: Max Stassi, C, Yuba City HS

29. Yankees: Rex Brothers, LHP, Lipscomb

30. Rays: Tommy Joseph, C, Horizon HS

31. Cubs: Jiovanni Mier, SS, Bonita HS

32. Rockies: Matt Hobgood, RHP, Norco HS

-Jonathan C. Mitchell

2009 MLB Mock Draft June 8, 2009

Posted by Jonathan C. Mitchell in Baseball, College.
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Tomorrow is the big day. The day that the worst teams from 2008 get their shot at the best available talent in the major league draft and a shot at rebuilding their system with “inexpensive” talent. So, here is my shot at how the first round could fill out.

1. Nationals: Stephen Strasburg, RHP, San Diego State – Is there any other choice?

2. Mariners: Dustin Ackley, OF/1B, North Carolina – Some rumors say the Mariners are 50/50 here but I can’t see them not taking Ackley. But, if they do go another route, it would most likely be Aaron Crow.

3. Padres: Aaron Crow, RHP, Fort Worth Cats – I hear Donovan Tate here a lot but I can’t see the Pads passing on Crow for a very raw high school talent like Tate when they can get other raw athletes with their next pick at 53.

4. Pirates: Wil Myers, C/3B, Wesleyan Christian Academy – Consesus seems to be that the Pirates will take a slot or below-slot guy here and spend the money in the International market. They could pop catcher Tony Sanchez or third baseman Bobby Borchering.

5. Orioles: Tyler Matzek, LHP, Capistrano Valley HS – I think they would like Crow to fall here. They could also pluck Tanner Scheppers if they want a guy that will move quicker in their system.

6. Giants: Tim Wheeler, OF, Sacramento State – I originally had Matzek going here but I don’t see him getting past the O’s unless Crow falls to them. The Giants have been in on Wheeler and they don’t seem as high on other top preps like Jacob Turner or Shelby Miller; especially with their asking prices going sky high.

7. Braves: Zack Wheeler, RHP, East Paulding HS – This is as close to a sure thing as you get past the first pick. He’s a potential top of the rotation guy and he’s local. There may be a problem with him getting this far but I think he falls here.

8. Reds: Tanner Scheppers, RHP, St. Paul Saints – Unless his medical reports aren’t to the liking of the team doctor the Reds should take Scheppers here. Grant Green is also a possibility.

9. Tigers: Jacob Turner, RHP, Westminster Christian Academy – This has been the consesus in the industry and his new asking price shouldn’t bother the Tigers.

10. Nationals: Chad Jenkins, RHP, Kennesaw State – The Nats will most likely be taking a college pitcher who will take nothing above slot here. I think Alex White is the better choice but they appear to be leaning towards Jenkins. Mike Minor or Kyle Gibson (if they aren’t scared by his recent injury) could be taken as well.

11. Rockies: Alex White, RHP, North Carolina – White had another good weekend and if he gets here the Rox will be thrilled. He should sign for slot, too.

12. Royals: Grant Green, SS, University of Southern California – The Royals want a guy up the middle and they will be happy to see Green fall here. Tony Sanchez and Max Stassi could land here as well.

13. Athletics: Mike Leake, RHP, Arizona State – I have had Leake in this slot for over a week since I started my mock and I still think he lands here. If Green falls here the A’s could take him.

14. Rangers: Shelby Miller, RHP, Brownwood HS – Another industry consesus. The Rangers will go for a high-upside guy here and Miller is exactly that.

15. Indians: Mike Minor, LHP, Vanderbilt – They like college arms and Minor is one that will sign for slot. Eric Arnett, Kyle Gibson, and Rex Brothers are also possible here.

16. Diamondbacks: Rex Brothers, LHP, Lipscomb – The Diamondbacks have back-to-back picks and they are expected to take guys who are signable. Brothers fits the bill and is a guy that can be ready in two years.

17. Diamondbacks: Tyler Skaggs, LHP, Santa Monica HS – A little more upside here but longer from the majors. I think the D-Backs will go with one polished college player and one upside high school player with their two picks.

18. Marlins: Chad James – LHP, Yukon HS – This is another name that has been on my mock draft in the same slot since I started it. He fits the Marlins draft philosophy.

19. Cardinals: Randal Grichuk, OF, Lamar Consolidation HS – Thanks to inside info from Keith Law, the Cards have had him in for two workouts. The Cards want a lefty starter but the best ones are off my board here. This is a reach but it may be possible. Bobby Borchering is another possibility here.

20. Blue Jays: Eric Arnett, RHP, Indiana – I bet the Jays would be excited to see him fall to them here. They could also take Kyle Gibson, Kyle Heckathorn, or some of the high school CFers.

21. Astros: Kyle Heckathorn, RHP, Kennesaw State – No real reason I have him going here but it seems like a logical choice and he’ll sign for slot for Drayton McLane.

22. Twins: Matt Davidson, 3B, Yucaipa HS – The Twins could go pitcher here but I think Davidson would be a welcomed pick for them. They could also take Mike Trout, Reymond Fuentes, or an arm here.

23. White Sox: Mike Trout, OF, Millville HS – I think Kenny Williams would like a big arm here but a toolsy guy like Trout is a good fit. Don’t be surprised if they pluck Donovan Tate and give him a big bonus.

24. Angels: Drew Storen, RHP, Stanford – Storen could be on the big club this season and is a logical pick here.

25. Angels: Reymond Fuentes, OF, Fernando Callego HS – He is one of my favorite players in the draft. The Angels will love to get a big arm like Storen or Billy Bullock with one of these picks and I think Fuentes is their top choice.

26. Brewers: Bobby Borchering, 3B, Bishop Verot HS – This would be gold if it happened. Borchering could easily be taken earlier. They could take Billy Bullock and rush him to their pen if they are desperate for relief help.

27. Mariners: Garrett Richards, RHP, University of Oklahoma – The Mariners have a pre-draft deal in place for their pick at 33 with high school catcher Stephen Baron so I don’t see them taking a catcher here. A college pitcher like Richards makes perfect sense to me.

28. Red Sox: Max Stassi, C, Yuba City HS – It just makes too much sense.

29. Yankees: Jiovanni Mier, SS, Bonita HS – The Yanks have not been linked to Mier but I think this makes sense. He’s the best shortstop (in my opinion) in this draft. He may want a little more than slot but the Yanks don’t worry about that. They could take Tate here and give him his bonus or Matt Purke, who wants Rick Porcello money.

30. Rays: Tommy Joseph, C, Horizon HS – I would love to see the Rays take a couple signability guys in this draft since they pick late. Joseph, whom I have not heard wanting above slot, would be a perfect pick and would allow the Rays to spend money deep in the draft.

31. Cubs: A.J. Pollock, OF, Notre Dame – The Cubs have been linked to Brett Jackson but Pollock is the better pick here if he makes it this far.

32. Rockies: Matt Hobgood, RHP, Norco HS – The Rockies would be in heaven if this happened. They have expressed high interest in Hobgood and he would be a steal here.

-Jonathan C. Mitchell

With Weeks Out Who Should Fill In? May 19, 2009

Posted by Jonathan C. Mitchell in Baseball.
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As you may have heard, Rickie Weeks is out for the season with a torn ligament in his wrist. With the Brewers sitting at the top of the NL Central, with much thanks to Weeks, they must replace his production in order to hold off the rest of the NL Central. So, what should they do?

It appears that manager Ken Macha is going to go with a platoon of Craig Counsell and Casey McGehee at secondbase. Sure both guys are having decent seasons off the bench so far but neither is going to replace the bat of Weeks. The Brewers must replace Weeks production and the man for that job is Mat Gamel.

No, Mat Gamel will not play secondbase. The Brewers should move Bill Hall to second and platoon him with Counsell. Hall would also play at third only against lefties. This would allow Gamel to play third against every right hander the Brewers face. This would allow the offense to remain strong and add another left-handed bat to complement a right-handed heavy lineup.

The Brewers could go after a free agent like Ray Durham or move prospect Alcides Escobar to second base. Either way, the Brewers have options and doing whatever it takes to get Gamel at-bats is the best one of them all.

-Jonathan C. Mitchell